Sure bets, also known as arbitrage bets, are a form of betting that maximizes the chances of winning and minimizes the risk of losing. This method allows players to take advantage of the difference in odds between bookmakers to ensure a profit or at least not lose. In recent years, sure bets have become increasingly popular due to their ability to bring consistent profits. This article Bestsoccertips will analyze in detail what is sure bet and how players can apply this strategy to achieve the highest efficiency.
What is sure bet?
What is surebet? Surebet is a betting method that guarantees a profit by placing wagers on all possible outcomes of a match across different bookmakers. The profit is generated from the difference in odds between bookmakers, ensuring a return regardless of the match result.
The principle of Surebet relies on the total probability, converted from the odds of all outcomes, being less than 1. Once such an opportunity is identified, players only need to calculate and allocate their stakes appropriately to secure a profit.
Although Surebet offers a safe way to earn profits, players may face risks such as odds fluctuations, calculation errors, or account restrictions if bookmakers detect frequent Surebet usage.
How Do Surebets Appear in Sports Betting?
Surebets arise from differences in odds for the same event across various bookmakers. When the odds are sufficiently different, players can bet on all possible outcomes and secure a profit, no matter which result occurs. This discrepancy stems from variations in how each bookmaker calculates probabilities and adjusts odds.
Competition among bookmakers is the primary reason Surebets exist. To attract bettors and maximize profits, each bookmaker offers competitive odds. When bookmakers use different calculation models or react inconsistently to new information, odds discrepancies emerge. Experienced bettors can exploit these differences to create risk-free betting opportunities.
Additionally, external factors such as changing match information or large bet volumes also contribute to the creation of Surebets. Events like key player injuries or lineup adjustments prompt bookmakers to update their odds. However, the adjustment speed varies between bookmakers, leading to temporary odds differences that players can capitalize on.
Sure bet example
After learning about what is a sure bet?, players should refer to sure bet example to make it easier to participate in betting.
For example: One bookmaker offers odds @ 2.17 for AH1(-1.5) in the Liverpool — Manchester United FC match, and the second bookmaker offers odds @ 2.31 for AH2(+1.5). Our amount for this sure bet is 100 €, of which 52 € we bet on AH1 (-1.5) and 48 € on AH2(+1.5). Then, calculate:
- AH1(-1.5) – 52 € * 2.17 = 112.84 € = 12.84 € net income.
- AH2(+1.5) – 48 € * 2.31 = 110.88 € = 10.88 € net profit.
So regardless of the outcome of the match, our profit will be either €10.88 or €12.84. All thanks to the sure bet we placed.
Guide to playing surebet in football betting
Step 1: Choose a reputable bookmaker
Selecting a reputable bookmaker is crucial to ensure transparency and safety in football betting. M88 is a reliable choice due to its legal operating license, stable odds, and professional customer support. Choosing the right bookmaker protects your stake and ensures fast and smooth withdrawals.
Prioritize bookmakers offering a variety of betting markets and promotions such as first deposit bonuses or cashback on losses. These incentives help maximize profits and minimize risks.
Step 2: Register and verify your account
After choosing a bookmaker, register an account to start betting. Provide accurate personal information, including your full name, phone number, and email address, to avoid issues during withdrawals.
Next, complete identity verification by submitting valid identification documents (ID card, citizen ID, or passport). This process ensures transparency, prevents fraud, protects player rights, and is mandatory for withdrawal transactions.
Step 3: Deposit funds using secure methods
Once your account is verified, deposit funds through secure payment options. Reputable bookmakers like M88 support bank transfers, e-wallets, and credit cards, ensuring safe and convenient transactions.
Check for first deposit bonuses or cashback offers to increase your betting capital. Depositing a reasonable amount based on a proper bankroll management plan helps maintain control over spending and ensures long-term betting stability.
Step 4: Conduct thorough research before placing bets
Successful Surebet betting requires careful analysis before making decisions. Consider these key factors:
- Team Form: Review the performance of both teams over the last 5-10 matches.
- Head-to-Head Record: Analyze outcomes from previous encounters.
- Lineup Information: Track injuries or key player absences.
Focus on matches with clear and verified information, where the chances of winning are high. Base your bets on data and objective analysis rather than intuition.
Step 5: Bet using a safe strategy
A solid Surebet strategy involves dividing your bankroll and never wagering more than 5% of your total funds on a single match. This approach controls risk and preserves capital.
Prioritize betting on markets with a high probability of winning:
- Handicap Betting: Favor level-ball (0) or small handicap lines.
- Over/Under Betting: Select reasonable totals based on scoring trends.
- Combo Bets: Combine 2-3 high-probability outcomes to increase potential returns.
Avoid emotional betting or following the crowd. Only place bets when your analysis indicates a win probability of over 70%.
Step 6: Withdraw winnings and secure profits
When you reach your profit target, withdraw funds to your personal account to lock in your winnings. Bookmakers like M88 offer fast, secure withdrawal options through multiple channels.
Apply the principle of “Withdraw the principal, play with the profits”—withdraw your initial deposit and only use the earned profits for future bets. This strategy reduces the risk of losing your entire balance and helps maintain long-term betting stability.
How to calculate a sure bet?
So, how do we calculate a sure bet? Well, we can do that by adding up the probabilities of the odds given for both outcomes. To calculate the probability, we simply divide the odds (in decimal format) by one. So let us explain using the same tennis example we gave you above.
- Nadal with odds of 2.10; implied probability of 2.10/1 = 47.6%
- Djokovic with odds of 2.10; implied probability of 2.10/1 = 47.6%
Then to check if we have a sure bet and a sure profit, we simply add up both probabilities, which in this case, gives us 95.2%. When the implied probability is below 100%, then you know you have a solid chance of winning. The further away from 100% the better, as this means your profit will be greater.
Tips and tricks to win bets for sure
Here we share effective tips and tricks to increase your chances of winning, limit risks and optimize profits, specifically:
- Do thorough research before placing a bet: Analyze form, head-to-head record, injuries and starting lineups. Follow small tournaments because bookies pay less attention, easy to find “good” odds.
- Choose the right odds: Prioritize Asian odds to reduce the risk of a draw, Over/Under odds if predicting the number of goals. Vibrating odds are suitable when watching live and evaluating the progress of the match.
- Smart capital management: Do not bet more than 5% of total capital per bet. Carefully apply martingale bets to compensate for losses but need to control the money source closely.
- Monitor odds fluctuations: Pay attention to the odds changing before the ball rolls. A sharp drop in odds can be a sign that the team is rated higher.
- Avoid betting emotionally: Rely on data instead of feelings. Set daily loss and win limits to maintain a stable mentality when betting.
- Use multiple bookmakers: Compare odds between bookmakers to choose the best one. Take advantage of promotions to increase profits or minimize losses.
- Follow reputable tipsters: Choose tipsters with a history of accurate and transparent predictions. Combine information from multiple sources with personal analysis to increase your chances of winning bets.
In Summary
In short, what is sure betting? This is a smart betting strategy in which players bet on all possible outcomes of a sporting event at different bookmakers to ensure profit. This method is based on the difference in odds between bookmakers, allowing players to make a profit regardless of the outcome of the match. Although sure betting brings stable profits and minimizes risks, to do it successfully, players need to calculate carefully, closely monitor the odds and act quickly before the market fluctuates. Wish you all success!
See more: What is odd/even in football betting? A comprehensive guide to winning big
