Welcome back to the realm of imagination enthusiasts, this time focusing on the overrated players of Fantasy Football. This is less about the players’ talent and more about their current Average Draft Position (ADP). Now, the task for bestsoccertips.com is to identify the next Jonathan Taylor, Deebo Samuel, and Gabe Davis, all of whom underperformed last season where they were drafted. Let’s now transition to overrated fantasy football players to get you ready for the draft, which is less than two weeks away.
Overrated Fantasy Football Players
Deshaun Watson, QB, Cleveland Browns (ADP 87.8, QB10)
The quarterback position is notoriously difficult to find overrated players, however, I’ve selected Deshaun Watson, who seemed underwhelming at the end of last season.
In three out of the five games, Watson played after his suspension, he finished as QB14 or worse in three of those games. I understand, he shook off rust after sitting out for over a season and a half. He also rushed for over 25 yards in only two of those five games. Watson’s ability to use his legs is a significant reason he finished as a top 5 quarterback in 2019 and 2020.
This season, I expect the Browns’ offense to heavily rely on their running game behind a stellar offensive line and Nick Chubb. In the past two seasons under head coach Kevin Stefanski, the Browns ranked fifth and sixth in rushing attempts per game. I hope that remains the same. I’m avoiding Watson at his ADP and would rather wait on the quarterback position.
Breece Hall, RB, New York Jets (ADP 35.8, RB14)
This ADP surprised me when I saw it updated on August 23rd. Breece Hall still operates as RB14. Alright, he’s not only recovering from the ACL injury that occurred in Week 7, but he’s also facing competition returning after the team signed Dalvin Cook.
I believe Cook still has enough left in the tank to be a nuisance for Hall owners. In his recent three games, Hall started and finished with 17, 18, and 20 touches. With Dalvin Cook back in town, I wonder how much work Breece Hall will see. It’s possible Hall only sees a total of 12-15 touches per game. That’s not good for anyone participating in the first three rounds of fantasy drafts.
If I’m fading at that position, I’d pick someone like Aaron Jones. Jones also participates in a running back by committee, but we know the reality is he can give you RB1 numbers as he did in the past two seasons.
Kenneth Walker, RB, Seattle Seahawks (ADP 42.8 RB17)
On draft night, when the Seattle Seahawks clashed with Zach Charbonnet in the second round, it sent shockwaves throughout the fantasy football industry. Not because Charbonnet lacks promise or anything, but because we witnessed Kenneth Walker break out in his rookie season.
Walker is one of the most explosive running backs in recent football history. He ranked third in the NFL with 17 breakaway runs and also stood eighth in the NFL for breakaway run rate. Unfortunately, his weakness lies in inefficient touches. He ranked 38th in yards per carry and 40th in fantasy points per touch according to playerprofiler.com.
If I had to choose between whom I want at ADP, I’d pick Charbonnet every time in the draft. Walker is drafting too high for me. He’ll have some solid weeks as he has the potential for big plays, however, I believe he’ll lack consistency, which could kill your lineup as an RB1 border.
I’d rather have Dameon Pierce, Miles Sanders, and Cam Akers over Kenneth Walker this season, and they’re all chasing him.
Davante Adams, WR, Las Vegas Raiders (ADP 15 WR8)
Alright, I expected this to be unsettling for the readers. But I’m genuinely concerned about the wide receiver situation for the Las Vegas Raiders.
Jimmy Garoppolo is soon to undergo off-season surgery and is evidently a downgrade for the Raiders’ offense. In this offense, Davante Adams poses a deeper threat when playing alongside Derek Carr last season. Adams ranked first in air yards, second in targets, and deep targets. The last time we saw Jimmy healthy and playing a full season, he ranked 24th in air yards and air yards per attempt. He stood 28th in deep-ball completion percentage.
Garoppolo and Derek Carr are two contrasting extremes. Moreover, Derek Carr and Adams being buddies doesn’t really matter and is one of the main reasons Adams wanted to play in Vegas. Adams is a fantastic player, but he’ll need some adjustment with the new offense.
Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers (ADP 37.4 WR16)
If you’ve listened to any content on the Fantasy Six Pack YouTube channel, you’ll know how I feel about Deebo Samuel. I’ll put this simply, if Deebo doesn’t see those carries, he’s not getting into the WR2 conversation in fantasy football.
Since Week 10 of last season, Samuel has never had more than 4 touches in any game. From Week 10-14, Samuel finished worse than WR23 in 4 out of those 5 games. In 2021, when we witnessed Samuel break out, he surged to 8 touches. With Christian McCaffrey and Elijah Mitchell in the backfield now, Deebo won’t see 8 touches again.
I’m confident Brandon Aiyuk will outscore Samuel this season. Samuel is ahead of guys like Keenan Allen, Amari Cooper, and DJ Moore. Those guys are clearly the number one option in their offenses. Deebo might be the third option in his, who isn’t getting touched like he used to.
Dallas Goedert, TE, Philadelphia Eagles (ADP 61.4 TE7)
Similar to the wide receiver position, the tight end position is a tough spot to find an overrated guy. I’m worried about Goedert this season, and he’ll be overdrafted. In my opinion, outside the top four guys, Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, T.J. Hockenson, and Darren Waller, I’m not locking in tight within the first seven rounds.
Goedert is clearly the third option in this Eagles’ potent offense. He’s behind two scoring threats AJ Brown and Devonta Smith, who were just targeted at an alarming rate last season. Goedert only has three touchdowns and only saw 10 red zone targets, ranking 15th in the NFL at the tight end position.
Highlight or low-light is what makes the tight end position stand out. In my opinion, Goedert doesn’t provide you with that. Just take another position at that point in your draft. Brandon Aiyuk, Chris Godwin, and Tyler Lockett are all chasing Goedert.
Conclude
In summary, when drafting for fantasy football, it’s vital to scrutinize players’ Average Draft Positions (ADP) alongside their potential role within their respective offenses. Overrated players like Deebo Samuel and Dallas Goedert may carry inflated ADPs, potentially leading fantasy managers to overvalue them in their drafts. Understanding the nuances of player usage, offensive schemes, and target distribution can help managers make informed decisions and avoid reaching for players whose fantasy outlook may not align with their ADP. Ultimately, a balanced approach to drafting, considering both talent and opportunity, is key to assembling a competitive fantasy roster.
See more: Top 10 most underrated fantasy football players today
